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Sunday, October 31, 2004
Fearless predictions
Here's my map. No science (and no sense) was involved. Just gut feeling.
Other predictions:
- Libertarian Candidate Michael Badnarik will finish third in the national popular vote- just ahead of Ralph Nader.
- Republicans will gain three seats in the Senate (giving them a 54-45 advantage), with the key races breaking down as follows:
- Alaska- Knowles (D) over Murkowski* (R)
- Colorado- Salazar (D) over Coors (R)
- Florida- Martinez (R) over Castor (D)
- Georgia- Isakson (R) over Majette (D)
- Illinois- Obama (D) over Keyes (R)
- Kentucky- Bunning* (R) over Mongiardo (D)
- Louisiana- Vitter (R) wins without run-off (>50%)
- North Carolina- Burr (R) over Bowles (D)
- Oklahoma- Coburn (R) over Carson (D)
- South Carolina- DeMint (R) over Tenenbaum (D)
- South Dakota- Thune (R) over Daschle* (D)
- Republicans will gain four seats in the House (due in large part to multiple successes in the state of Texas), bringing their majority to 231-204.
- The Democrats will launch a massive tidal wave of litigation in Florida, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, and New Mexico. None will be successful.
- Wednesday's big story will be alleged "voter intimidation" in Ohio- due to multiple sets of poll watchers in some polling places. It will be bull shit.
- Kerry will not concede on election night, despite being soundly defeated. His concession speech- in which he will accuse Republicans of disenfranchising four million African American voters (no evidence will be supplied to support this claim)- will be made on Thursday morning.
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