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Friday, January 14, 2005

Scouting Report: Bartolo Colon

Bio: 
Name:     Bartolo Colon
Birthday: May 24, 1973 (31 on Opening Day) 
Height:   6-0
Weight:   230 (Yeah, right...)
Bats:     Right
Throws:   Right
Position: P
Acquired: Free agent (12/4/04)
Drafted:  n/a
Roster:   25-man
Contract: $51/4 years (through 2007)
Stats, last five seasons (complete): 
YEAR(L)   G   GS  IP    H    R   ER  HR  BB  SO   H/9 W/9 K/9  W   L  ERA  BAA 
----------|---|---|-----|----|---|---|---|---|----|---|---|----|---|--|----|---
2000(ML)  30  30  188.0 163  86  81  21  98  212  7.8 4.7 10.2 15  11 3.88 .233
2001(ML)  34  34  222.1 220  106 101 26  90  201  8.9 3.6 8.1  14  12 4.09 .261
2002(ML)  33  33  233.1 219  85  76  20  70  149  8.4 2.7 5.7  20  8  2.93 .252
2003(ML)  34  34  242.0 223  107 104 30  67  173  8.3 2.5 6.4  15  13 3.87 .248
2004(ML)  34  34  208.1 215  122 116 38  71  158  9.3 3.1 6.8  18  12 5.01 .265
----------|---|---|-----|----|---|---|---|---|----|---|---|----|---|--|----|---
  CAREER: 247 245 1597  1537 760 711 186 596 1278 8.6 3.3 7.2  118 74 4.01 .254
Pitching:
Pitch selection: 1) exploding 4-seam fastball (high 90s), 2) 2-seam fastball (low-90s), 3) curve, 4) change.

4-seamer said to rise, according to many hitters. Throws tight, sinking curveball. Velocity down last season, from 96-100 to 93-97. Some attribute this to Colon's expanding waist-line, others to an ankle injury. Threw more breaking stuff last season than any prior season. Struggled mightily early in the year with lack of velocity and control issues. Recovered quite nicely down the stretch, but still had the worst season of his career. Many point to a perceived lack of strikeouts, even though his K/9 was actually a three-year high. The real culprits were an inability to avoid bats (.265 BAA was the second-highest of his career, beating only his rookie season) and a shockingly high homerun rate, both likely due to control issues rather than the drop in velocity.

Chronicles: "The K/9 was somewhat inflated because he faced so many batters (because he gave up so many hits). He had a .176 K/Batter Faced each of the last two years, which was up from .154 in 2002, but down from the years before that."
Outlook:
I know I'm going to eat these words, but I'm looking for a rebound from Bartolo. He'll come into camp healthy and (relatively) in shape. He'll regain a little bit of velocity, and he'll have good control from the outset. He still won't be the "ace" the Angels were hoping for, but they won't feel like they're getting robbed, either. Projected line: 16-8, 3.75 ERA.
See the complete list of scouting reports here.

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