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Thursday, July 21, 2005

Scouting Report: Dustin Moseley

Bio: 
Name:     Dustin Aaron Moseley
Birthday: December 26, 1981 (23 on Opening Day) 
Height:   6-3
Weight:   290
Bats:     Right
Throws:   Right
Position: P
Acquired: via trade w/CIN (12/14/04)
Drafted:  2000, 1st round (34), CIN
Roster:   40-man
Contract: n/a
Stats: 
YEAR(L)   G  GS IP    H   R  ER HR BB SO  H/9  W/9 K/9 W  L  ERA  WHIP
----------|--|--|-----|---|--|--|--|--|---|----|---|---|--|--|----|---
2001(a)   25 25 148.0 158 83 69    42 108 9.6  2.6 6.6 10 8  4.20 1.35
2002(A)   14 14 88.2  60  28 27 3  21 80  6.1  2.1 8.1 6  3  2.74 0.91
 || (AA)  13 13 80.2  91  47 37 5  37 52  10.2 4.1 5.8 5  6  4.13 1.59
2003(AA)  18 18 112.2 116 55 48 10 28 73  9.3  2.2 5.8 5  6  3.83 1.28
 || (AAA) 8  8  50.0  46  19 15 5  14 27  8.3  2.5 4.9 2  3  2.70 1.20
2004(AA)  8  8  47.1  33  16 14 4  10 40  6.3  1.9 7.6 3  2  2.66 0.91
 || (AAA) 12 12 71.2  78  38 37 7  34 48  9.8  4.3 6.0 2  4  4.65 1.56
2005(AAA) 16 16 81.1  102 51 46 11 36 29  11.3 4.0 3.2 4  6  5.09 1.69
Pitching:
Pitch selection: 1) fastball (88-92 mph), 2) curveball, 3) change, 4) cut fastball. Said to lack a true out pitch, which limits his potential.

Acquired in the Ramon Ortiz trade, Moseley is a guy who's never going to bust radar guns. In the past Moseley has worked off of excellent location of his fastball and a solid change to keep hitters off-balance. He mixes pitches well, and it was this finesse that propelled him through the lower levels of the Red's system and to the top of the organization's prospect chart. A back injury derailed his 2004 season (it only caused him to miss four starts, but his control was clearly lacking upon his return) and may be partly to blame for his 2005 struggles with the Angels.
Outlook:
Going into this season I would have told you that Moseley could pass as a fifth starter on a few major league rosters. So far he's failed to live up to that billing at AAA Salt Lake, as he's been unable to miss bats, plain and simple. His K-rate (which was never too impressive to begin with) has plummeted as his formerly pinpoint control has all but disappeared (manifested in his raising walks). I'm not totally convinced he's not still suffering from the effects of last season's back injury (though there's no evidence that is the case). 2005 has seen an awfully precipitous fall from a guy who's always been seen as almost a "sure thing" fifth starter type. I can't help but feel there's something missing.

ETA: I'm not sure he has an ETA in the Angels' organization. As I said, Moseley has never had much up side - even before his 2005 struggles. At best he's going to be a solid fifth starter in an average rotation. Now even that has come into question, though I'm confident Moseley will rebound. I see him poking around the majors for a few years, filling holes on some bad clubs.
See the complete list of scouting reports here.

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