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Friday, July 15, 2005

Scouting Report: Jeff Mathis

Hey, remember these? I swear, I'm going to get this project finished by the end of the year. Next step is paring down the list significantly, as I'm afraid I bit off more than I can chew.

Bio:
Name:     Jeffery Stephen Mathis
Birthday: March 31, 1983 (22 on Opening Day 2005) 
Height:   6'-0"
Weight:   180
Bats:     Right
Throws:   Right
Position: C
Acquired: Draft
Drafted:  2001, 1st round (33), ANA 
Roster:   40-man
Contract: n/a
Stats (complete):
YEAR(L)   G   AB  R  H   2B 3B HR RBI BB SO  SB CS AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS
----------|---|---|--|---|--|--|--|---|--|---|--|--|----|----|----|--
2002(A)   128 491 75 141 41 3  10 73  40 75  7  4  .287 .346 .444 790
2003(A)   98  378 74 122 28 3  11 54  35 74  5  3  .323 .384 .500 884
 || (AA)  24  95  19 27  11 0  2  14  12 16  1  2  .284 .364 .463 827
2004(AA)  116 426 55 95  24 3  14 55  49 100 2  1  .223 .308 .392 700
2005(AAA) 70  264 51 75  19 2  12 45  28 58  2  2  .284 .353 .508 862
Hitting:
Terrific power for the position. Has begun refining double/gap power into homerun power in 2005 (on pace to hit 20+ HR for the first time). This has largely erased his 2004 season, when he was clearly over his head at AA. He showed a disturbing tendency to enter prolonged slumps in 2004, which did hurt his prospect status. But it looks like his struggles were simply a product of his youth - so no worries going forward.

Like most young power hitters, Mathis will strikeout a ton (17% of his PA end in K's). Strikeouts from young guys never have bothered me, especially when they show the ability to draw walks, which Mathis has. I'm fairly certain he'll display plus plate discipline in the future.
Defense/Baserunning:
Some say Mathis is gold glove caliber. I wouldn't go that far - he's not on the level of the Molinas (but who is?). He was widely lauded for his work with the Travs' pitching staff in 2004, despite his struggles at the plate. Strong arm, solid footwork - he's not someone who's going to be picked-on on the base paths.
Outlook:
I must admit, I was one of the misguided souls who wrote off Mathis after his disappointing 2004 campaign. It was shortsighted of me, failing to take into account his youth. At 21 he was one of the youngest players at the level, and while that doesn't write-off the entire season, it does temper the doomsday predictions. He's bounced back magnificently at Salt Lake this season, having easily his best power season. And he's still young for his level, especially for a catcher. I couldn't be more impressed by his performance this season. He's back on my top-five prospects list.

ETA: I'm sure the Angels would like to give Mathis another year of seasoning at AAA, but with the big league catcher situation up in the air for 2006, there's a chance he could be pressed into service. Let's hope for everybody's sake that's not the case. Look for him in 2007 (and hopefully no sooner).
See the complete list of scouting reports here.

Comments:


thanks for the info on mathis. i'm eager to see him when he's ready...you mentioned in your report the home runs. i wonder, do you know how many of them were at salt lake and how many were at parks closer to sea level? it' s my hope that the power is legitimate. we could use more at the major league level...
thanks for your work
matt

posted by Anonymous Anonymous @ 8:29 PM
Good to see you working on finishing these. One of my favorite features here.

posted by Blogger Rob @ 6:53 AM
Oh, and I'm really starting to warm up to Michael Collins. I hope the Angels can re-sign him, as he's a minor league free agent after next year.

posted by Blogger Rob @ 6:56 AM
Matt- Interesting point. Unfortunately I had no luck finding home/road splits.

Here's a list of PCL park factors. You're right of course - Franklin Covey Field is a very good park for hitters. But then again, the league is full of those kinds of parks. But it's also not much of a difference over the leagues and stadiums Mathis has played in at lower levels.

So my guess would be that while the park and league are playing a part in the improved power, it's not nearly enough to write off the improvement as artificial. He’s just starting to turn those doubles into homeruns.

posted by Blogger Richard @ 9:56 AM