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Tuesday, August 02, 2005

Scouting Report: Joe Saunders

Bio:
Name:     Joseph Francis Saunders III
Birthday: June 16,1981 (23 on Opening Day) 
Height:   6-3
Weight:   195
Bats:     Left
Throws:   Left
Position: P
Acquired: Draft
Drafted:  2002, 1st round (12), ANA
Roster:   40-man
Contract: n/a
Stats (complete):
YEAR(L)   G  GS IP    H   R  ER HR BB SO H/9  W/9 K/9  W L  ERA  WHIP
----------|--|--|-----|---|--|--|--|--|--|----|---|----|-|--|----|---
2002(R)   8  8  32.1  40  19 13 1  11 21 11.1 3.1 5.9  2 1  3.62 1.58
 || (a)   5  5  28.2  16  7  6  2  9  27 5.0  2.8 8.5  3 1  1.88 0.87
2003      ------------------------DID NOT PLAY-----------------------
2004(A)   19 19 105.2 106 49 40 13 23 76 9.0  2.0 6.5  9 7  3.41 1.22
 || (AA)  8  8  39.0  51  26 25 5  14 25 11.8 3.2 5.8  4 3  5.77 1.67
2005(AA)  18 18 105.2 107 52 41 9  32 80 9.1  2.7 6.8  7 4  3.49 1.31
 || (AAA) 3  3  21.2  17  8  6  1  8  13 7.1  3.3 5.4  2 1  2.49 1.15
Pitching:
Pitch selection: 1) fastball (low 90's), 2) curveball, 3) change. Had a plus change coming out of college - a rare skill.

Started pro career with solid showings in rookie and low-A ball. Saunders looked sure to live up to his first-round draft status - that is, until it was discovered that he had suffered a torn labrum prior to the 2003 campaign (just one in a string of pitching medicine disasters for the Angels around the turn of the century). He lost the entire 2003 season, opting for rehab over surgery. Came back in 2004 and quickly got back to speed, reclaiming his place as one of the Angels top arms. 2005 has only solidified that status, as he anchored the staff at AA Arkansas before being promoted to AAA where he has but up solid if not spectacular numbers.
Outlook:
It's hard to get a gauge on Saunders, because you basically have to throw out his 2004 season (as he was recovering from the shoulder injury), giving us very little to go on. But I will say this: one can't help but be impressed by the way Saunders fought his way back from a very serious (career threatening, even) injury. His recovery went about as well as anyone could have hoped, and he doesn't seem to have lost a thing, other than perhaps a couple of MPH off the fastball. However, his strikeout rates have never been great (certainly not what was expected coming out of Virginia Tech in the first round), which tempers my enthusiasm somewhat. He also finds too many bats to be considered an "elite" prospect.

2005 was supposedly Saunders' "make-or-break" season - well, he appears to have "made" it just fine. I feel confident Saunders will figure in a major league rotation at some point. Where in that rotation remains to be seen. He'll be one of the most intriguing players to watch in the next year, raising the question "can a person have two make-or-break seasons in a row?" ETA: 2007?
See the complete list of scouting reports here.

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